Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 1.000645 1.128880 1.268995 1.433732 1.622468 1.832351 2.083991
2025-01-05 0.787076 0.955855 1.155857 1.411492 1.731189 2.119922 2.631620
2025-01-12 0.674005 0.858938 1.090104 1.402510 1.817067 2.352996 3.105899
2025-01-19 0.573310 0.758754 1.000525 1.342093 1.817476 2.463403 3.420722
2025-01-26 0.524528 0.717938 0.979757 1.364746 1.924279 2.720039 3.959349
2025-02-02 0.486263 0.685736 0.964970 1.390584 2.033882 2.987650 4.542398
2025-02-09 0.449936 0.651626 0.942556 1.400581 2.117909 3.222644 5.100821
2025-02-16 0.418045 0.620312 0.920188 1.406563 2.193774 3.449865 5.671438
2025-02-23 0.395301 0.600217 0.912042 1.432409 2.301720 3.737222 6.375890
2025-03-02 0.361612 0.560021 0.868802 1.396946 2.303895 3.847210 6.782137
2025-03-09 0.345223 0.545618 0.864795 1.424847 2.414588 4.152613 7.578469
2025-03-16 0.322236 0.518508 0.837588 1.410330 2.448786 4.324628 8.143984
2025-03-23 0.306134 0.501921 0.827116 1.424956 2.538706 4.611914 8.982135
2025-03-30 0.285610 0.476292 0.799242 1.406041 2.564920 4.782674 9.610440
2025-04-06 0.268717 0.455535 0.777969 1.396781 2.607637 4.988682 10.339279
2025-04-13 0.245629 0.422177 0.731765 1.336667 2.544934 4.976557 10.591746
2025-04-20 0.236701 0.413438 0.729175 1.359216 2.648647 5.315826 11.678305
2025-04-27 0.228864 0.406053 0.728377 1.384937 2.761077 5.685741 12.891072
2025-05-04 0.219524 0.395177 0.720132 1.394889 2.841145 5.994226 14.003323
2025-05-11 0.210379 0.384003 0.710421 1.400844 2.912940 6.292045 15.134746
2025-05-18 0.204193 0.378036 0.710306 1.426574 3.030591 6.708176 16.635688
2025-05-25 0.191599 0.358772 0.682554 1.391271 3.007191 6.789919 17.263417
2025-06-01 0.186651 0.354247 0.683997 1.419046 3.131464 7.241486 18.974974